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Do natural climate cycles disprove that modern global warming is caused by humans?

Thursday, July 8, 2021
By Scott Knapp
NO

During Earth’s last glacial period between 120,000 and 11,500 years ago, a number of approximately 1,500-year temperature cycles occurred. Also known as Dansgaard-Deschger events, the cycles caused a transfer of heat between the northern and southern hemispheres, producing a “seesaw effect”: when one hemisphere cooled, the other warmed.

The climatic change of modern times is not a heat transfer within our climate, but an overall temperature increase across the globe. It has been understood since the 19th century that atmospheric gases such as carbon dioxide trap heat. After not exceeding 300 parts per million for 800,000 years, atmospheric CO2 has spiked due to human activities since the Industrial Revolution, reaching 416 parts per million in February 2021. Temperatures have climbed also: the global average temperature has risen one degree Celsius since 1880.

This fact brief is responsive to conversations such as this one.
Sources
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Glacial-interglacial cycles
American Institute of Physics ‘The Carbon Dioxide Greenhouse Effect’
ABOUT THE CONTRIBUTOR
Skeptical Science is a non-profit science education organization. Our goal is to remove a roadblock to climate action by building public resilience against climate misinformation. We achieve this by publishing debunking of climate myths as well as providing resources for educators, communicators, scientists, and the general public. Skeptical Science was founded and is led by John Cook, a Senior Research Fellow with the Melbourne Centre for Behaviour Change at the University of Melbourne.
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